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This is considered a safe Tory/Unionist seat. No other party has any real chance of winning this seat. The Conservatives won the last election with a majority of 18008 over the Lab candidate. However, every vote matters in this election - even in safe Tory and Unionist constituencies like this one! That means getting out as large a vote for Labour (or for the SDLP in Northern Ireland) as possible, so as to ensure the maximum possible share of the total vote nationwide. If results across the UK are mixed, as is likely, the total combined vote for all Labour Party candidates in all constituencies is an indication of the mandate Jeremy Corbyn is being given to govern.
That means a Vote to Survive on 12th December is a vote for Labour in this constituency!
Pledge your vote here!
Shailesh Vara won this seat in 2017 for the Conservative with a majority of 18,008 votes.